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This Bear Market Indicator Is Off the Mark

Investors are taught that bear markets can’t occur unless the Treasury yield curve inverts – that is, unless short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates. 

And that can only happen if the Federal Reserve raises the Federal Funds rate, which is the short-term rate that the Fed controls.

But that measure may be off the mark this time, and here’s why…

Weekly Market Summary

After 27 months, SPX experienced its first 10% correction this week.As we have detailed many times, this was an exceptionally long and uncorrected rise. Since its last 10% correction in mid 2012, SPX has risen an exceptional 59%.Bulls will contend that…