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LimeJuice2

Member Since 24 Jun 2008
Offline Last Active Today, 02:58 PM
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Hedge Funder Who Bet $100 Million On The Facebook IPO Just Called And Boy Was He F...

Yesterday, 11:18 PM

Hedge Funder Who Bet $100 Million On The Facebook IPO Just Called And Boy Was He Furious
http://finance.yahoo...-184159786.html

Business Insider: So what happened on Friday?
Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager: Early on Friday there was euphoria. You started seeing these messages out of Europe about a market being made around $70/share. We started seeing allocations were out. We heard big firms that put in for big amounts were not getting it. We heard retail customers at small firms were able to get some stock: a couple thousand shares. Then you had guys with $20 million accounts at Goldman who were getting 200 shares total. It was just kind of messed up in allocation.
Business Insider: When did things start to go truly wrong?
Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager: The message that this thing was getting traded in the $70s started getting tremendous hype. Then we started getting looks from the floor. The first was $50. Then $45. Then $42. Then it was holding at $42 for whatever reason. $42. $42. $42.
What happened was NASDAQ was delaying it.
NASDAQ held a conference call and they said we're going to delay.
While we were waiting for it to open, if you called the Morgan Stanley institutional desk, they would tell you "we can't put any buy orders in." If there were institutional investors who wanted to round out their positions they couldn't do at that point.
The stock opened at $42.
...
...
Business Insider: Final thoughts on the IPO?
Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager: It never stood a shot. If there was any enthusiasm for this deal, that got wiped out. Think about a guy who was going to put five grand on this. You go to Vegas and put $5,000 on the roulette wheel and it breaks, it's like, hold on, I'm not going to do that. Suddenly you're like this is Wall Street and I hate Wall Street.
Business insider: You could argue the system failure may have saved some of the Muppets, then?
Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager: No doubt. But this should have been a blockbuster. This should have traded to $60 or $70. This should have launched a wave of tech IPOs.

This is NOT a tech bubble

07 February 2012 - 01:51 PM

This is NOT a tech bubble

By Paul R. La Monica

@lamonicabuzz
February 6, 2012: 12:21 PM ET


NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The Nasdaq is at its highest level since the end of 2000. Highly speculative companies like Netflix (NFLX) and Zynga (ZNGA) are soaring, and investors are salivating about possibly paying 100 times earnings for Facebook when it goes public.
If you want to declare that tech stocks are once again a bubble ... you'd be dead wrong.

Sure, some techs like Netflix, Amazon.com (AMZN, Fortune 500) and Salesforce.com (CRM) (to name a few) trade at extremely high price-to-earnings ratios for this year and next. But they are the exception, not the rule.
As tempting as it may be to declare that techs are frothy -- as they were just before the dot-com bubble burst in March 2000 -- it's simply not true.
Take a look at the Nasdaq 100 (NDX), the largest non-financial stocks in the Nasdaq Composite. While it's not a pure tech index since it also includes companies like Starbucks (SBUX, Fortune 500), Amgen (AMGN, Fortune 500) and Wynn Resorts (WYNN), it is very tech heavy.
The largest companies in the index by market value are Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500), Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500), Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) and Oracle (ORCL, Fortune 500). Intel, Cisco Systems and Qualcomm are in the top ten.
Of those seven companies, the most expensive is Qualcomm (QCOM, Fortune 500). And it's trading at only 16 times 2012 earnings forecasts, in line with its growth rate.
Apple, Microsoft, Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) and Cisco (CSCO, Fortune 500) all trade at 11 times calendar 2012 earnings forecasts. Oracle has a P/E of 12 while Google trades for just 14 times profit forecasts.

The Nasdaq 100, overall, is trading at just 18 times earnings estimates for 2012. That's more expensive than the broader market, but it's not that crazy considering that earnings, on average, for the Nasdaq 100 companies are expected to increase 14 percent this year.
Of course, none of the big techs are growing as rapidly as they were a few years ago, save for Apple. So it's understandable why some investors may be more interested in companies with greater growth potential. Like Facebook for example.

source: http://money.cnn.com...ebuzz/index.htm


BVSN 32.60 -6.85 -17.36% daytrading nirvana

07 February 2012 - 01:48 PM

You can make alot of $$ just playing the momentum, as long as you cut your losses quick if you're wrong. Dangerous for novice etraders, but a dream vehicle for a protrader.  Back in dot.com bubble, there were 100s of stocks like this.

There is alot of talk about how market volume is down, but the counter to that is the supply of stock is shrinking as there are few IPOs and other stock offerings, and cash-rich corporations are buying back their stock.   That combined with Bernanke flinging mountains of freshly printed electronic fiat has created ideal trading conditions.  

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AAPL + GOOG holding up the nazcrack

06 February 2012 - 02:15 PM

Most nazcrack stocks are in the red, but AAPL and GOOG are holding it up.   AAPL I mentioned 10 days ago that it would have a lull post earnings due to opex pressure, but since then it has pushed higher.   AAPL's forward PE @ 9.8  is still lower than MSFT's forward PE @10.10,  and AAPL is growing much faster.

GOOG is different case because they missed  on earnings, but after the gap down post-earnings, it formed a shallow V bottom,  and once it got into the gap,  traders have piled into it.  Even though GOOG missed, keep in mind that GOOG investors are used to wild gyrations @ earnings time because GOOG mgmt does not provide guidance so sometimes the analysts are way off.   GOOG is still growing and PE is in low teens - not as cheap as AAPL but expectations lower than AAPL. Investors are using the opportunity to BTFD.  

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http://www.nasdaq.co...spx?col=6&dir=U

Facebook (FB) S-1 filed

01 February 2012 - 06:46 PM

16:54 FB facebook S-1 filed
Key stats: Co to list under symbol "FB." "We had 845 million MAUs as of December 31, 2011, an increase of 39% as compared to 608 million MAUs as of December 31, 2010... We had 483 million daily active users (DAUs) on average in December 2011, an increase of 48% as compared to 327 million DAUs in December 2010... We had more than 425 million MAUs who used Facebook mobile products in December 2011... There were more than 100 billion friend connections on Facebook as of December 31, 2011... Our users generated an average of 2.7 billion Likes and Comments per day during the three months ended December 31, 2011..." FB reports revs of $3.7 bln in 2011 and $2.0 bln in 2012, with net income of $1 bln in 2011 and $606 mln in 2010.

source: briefing.com





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